Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AC Oulu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 52.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Veikkausliiga, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20