GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Génesis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Génesis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Platense FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Génesis hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Liga Nacional, while Génesis holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Génesis

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

13.5%

Génesis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GénesisLWLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Platense FCDLLWL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GénesisPlatense FC
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
51.0Power26.2
1.53xG0.94
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