Génesisvs
Atlético Choloma
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Génesis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Génesis are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlético Choloma are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Génesis hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Liga Nacional, while Génesis holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Génesis
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Génesis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40