GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Génesis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Génesis are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlético Choloma are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Génesis hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Liga Nacional, while Génesis holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Génesis

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Génesis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GénesisLDWDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético CholomaWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GénesisAtlético Choloma
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
51.0Power21.5
1.56xG0.92
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