GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Newport County are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold a 54.2-point power-rating edge (91.8 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Newport CountyWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gloucester CityNewport County
100.0Attack20.0
83.3Defence60.0
100.0Form26.7
91.8Power37.7
2.13xG0.97
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