Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloggnitz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Gloggnitz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Weiz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Weiz hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gloggnitz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gloggnitz
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Gloggnitz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20