GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/27/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Glenorchy Knights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 44.1-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

85.1%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy KnightsWLLWW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South HobartWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 2 · avg 4.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsSouth Hobart
42.6Attack100.0
38.9Defence70.4
31.5Form87.0
39.0Power83.0
0.83xG3.90
View match centre →