GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/21/2026, 5:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glenorchy Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Glenorchy Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while South East Utd. are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Glenorchy Knights hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Tasmania NPL, while Glenorchy Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glenorchy Knights

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Glenorchy Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy KnightsLLWWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South East Utd.LL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Glenorchy KnightsSouth East Utd.
42.6Attack48.1
38.9Defence5.6
31.5Form38.9
39.0Power32.7
2.81xG1.72
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