Glenorchy Knightsvs
Kingborough Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 7/10/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Glenorchy Knights are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.9% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kingborough Lions
Probability
82.9%
Model confidence
82.9%
Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80