Glenorchy Knightsvs
Clarence Zebras
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 7/4/2026, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clarence Zebras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Glenorchy Knights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Clarence Zebras are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while Clarence Zebras holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Clarence Zebras
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Clarence Zebras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20