Glenorchy Knights U21vs
New Town
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/1/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 5.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while New Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 16 · avg 5.00/3.20
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00