GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 9/20/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Talhada · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Gálatas EC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Serra Talhada are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 86.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.3% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Talhada

Probability

80.3%

Model confidence

80.3%

Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gálatas ECWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Serra TalhadaWWLWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gálatas ECSerra Talhada
42.9Attack100.0
38.1Defence80.0
33.3Form90.0
41.2Power86.1
0.73xG3.13
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