Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Giugliano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Giugliano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sorrento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Giugliano hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Giugliano holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Giugliano
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
12.9%
Giugliano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20