Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leganes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Girona are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leganes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leganes hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Segunda División, while Leganes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leganes
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
17.0%
Leganes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60