Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Völsungur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ægir are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Völsungur are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Völsungur hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the 1. Deild, while Völsungur holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Völsungur
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
7.7%
Völsungur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40