Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Ægir are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Njardvik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40