Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ægir are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grotta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
8.4%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60