Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ægir are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Fylkir are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.7% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40