Gimnasia Y TirovsSan Martin Tucuman

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Martin Tucuman are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.