GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin S.J.DDLLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin S.J.
36.1Attack34.8
69.4Defence66.7
51.4Form44.9
54.7Power51.3
0.79xG0.58
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