GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Patronato are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroWDLWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PatronatoLDDDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia Y TiroPatronato
36.1Attack26.1
69.4Defence66.7
51.4Form34.8
54.7Power44.8
0.81xG0.43
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