GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Midland are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroDDWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroMidland
36.1Attack36.2
69.4Defence76.8
51.4Form53.6
54.7Power57.5
0.54xG0.62
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