Gimnasia Y TirovsDeportivo Maipu

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Maipu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.