GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colegiales are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColegialesWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroColegiales
36.1Attack33.3
69.4Defence66.7
51.4Form43.5
54.7Power49.6
0.80xG0.56
View match centre →