GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gimnasia Y Tiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Club Atlético Güemes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Primera Nacional, while Gimnasia Y Tiro holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Gimnasia Y Tiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Club Atlético GüemesLWDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroClub Atlético Güemes
36.1Attack29.0
69.4Defence39.1
51.4Form27.5
54.7Power35.3
1.52xG0.46
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