GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/28/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Y Tiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Almagro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Y TiroWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlmagroLDLDL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia Y TiroAlmagro
36.1Attack29.2
69.4Defence62.5
51.4Form41.7
54.7Power46.3
0.90xG0.48
View match centre →