GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia Mendoza 2LDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Vélez Sársfield Res.WDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
30.3Attack61.1
60.6Defence79.2
39.4Form70.8
45.7Power70.1
0.44xG1.42
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