Gimnasia M.vs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/1/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia M. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60