Gimnasia M.vs
Lanus
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/21/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia M. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60