GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/25/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia M. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia M.LLWLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IndependienteLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia M.Independiente
28.3Attack44.4
60.0Defence60.3
41.7Form47.6
45.7Power52.7
0.71xG1.00
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