Gimnasia M.vs
Defensa Y Justicia
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia M. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.7 against 47.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40