GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gimnasia Jujuy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Jujuy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Jujuy hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Primera Nacional, while Gimnasia Jujuy holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gimnasia Jujuy

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

17.3%

Gimnasia Jujuy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia JujuyLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chaco For EverLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia JujuyChaco For Ever
50.7Attack30.4
60.9Defence59.4
59.4Form31.9
57.8Power42.8
1.41xG0.63
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