GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gimnasia Jujuy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Jujuy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Almagro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Jujuy hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Primera Nacional, while Gimnasia Jujuy holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gimnasia Jujuy

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Gimnasia Jujuy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia JujuyWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AlmagroLLWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia JujuyAlmagro
48.6Attack29.2
59.7Defence62.5
56.9Form41.7
56.0Power46.3
1.23xG0.63
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