GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ConcepciónDWDWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo BelgranoWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónSportivo Belgrano
26.7Attack34.9
70.0Defence81.0
35.0Form50.8
45.1Power56.8
0.38xG0.60
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