GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

19.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ConcepciónWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores de VilelasDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónDefensores de Vilelas
28.1Attack46.3
68.4Defence50.0
35.1Form42.6
45.0Power47.4
0.90xG0.82
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