Gimnasia Concepciónvs
Defensores de Vilelas
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
19.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20