GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ChivilcoyLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo BelgranoWLWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoySportivo Belgrano
28.3Attack34.9
78.3Defence81.0
46.7Form50.8
52.6Power56.8
0.41xG0.44
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