GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Chivilcoy hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gimnasia ChivilcoyWLWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Concepción
28.3Attack26.7
78.3Defence70.0
46.7Form35.0
52.6Power45.1
0.56xG0.32
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