GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gillingham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Gillingham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Millwall are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gillingham hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gillingham holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gillingham

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

14.0%

Gillingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MillwallWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GillinghamMillwall
66.7Attack23.8
86.7Defence71.4
73.3Form38.1
74.7Power47.4
1.56xG0.78
View match centre →