GGOALVIO

Gillingham logoGillinghamvsLuton logoLuton

COMPLETED

England · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gillingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gillingham are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Luton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gillingham hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the League Cup, while Gillingham holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gillingham

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

11.7%

Gillingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GillinghamWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LutonLWDWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GillinghamLuton
83.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power53.0
1.75xG1.40
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