GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/9/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GIL Vicente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

GIL Vicente are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rio Ave are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and GIL Vicente hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Primeira Liga, while GIL Vicente holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

GIL Vicente

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

GIL Vicente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GIL VicenteDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rio AveWDWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GIL VicenteRio Ave
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power21.5
1.63xG0.92
View match centre →