GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 7/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geumsan Insam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Geumsan Insam are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jungnang Chorus Mustang are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jungnang Chorus Mustang hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the K4 League, while Geumsan Insam holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geumsan Insam

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

13.4%

Geumsan Insam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Geumsan InsamWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jungnang Chorus MustangWLDLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Geumsan InsamJungnang Chorus Mustang
54.9Attack58.8
58.8Defence60.8
52.9Form54.9
56.4Power58.5
1.39xG1.34
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