Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Getafe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Reading are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40