Geoje Citizenvs
Jincheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 4/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Geoje Citizen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jincheon are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WDWW), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jincheon hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the K4 League, while Jincheon holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
10.2%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.75/0.50