Gentvs
KV Mechelen
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gent are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while KV Mechelen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gent hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Gent holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00