Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Genk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Genk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC OSS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Genk hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Genk holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Genk
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Genk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80