GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/7/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gemert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gemert are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Helmond Sport are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Helmond Sport hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gemert holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gemert

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Gemert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GemertWDWL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Helmond SportLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GemertHelmond Sport
0.0Attack44.4
33.3Defence44.4
0.0Form44.4
15.3Power45.9
1.66xG1.62
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