GELvs
Serra Talhada
COMPLETEDBrazil · Capixaba B · 9/5/2025, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serra Talhada · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
GEL are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Serra Talhada are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 52.9-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 86.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.4% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Serra Talhada
Probability
74.4%
Model confidence
74.4%
Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60