Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gefle IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gefle IF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sunnersta are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gefle IF hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gefle IF holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gefle IF
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
12.4%
Gefle IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40