Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gefle IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gefle IF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lucksta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Gefle IF hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gefle IF holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gefle IF
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Gefle IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00