Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
gefle IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
gefle IF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and gefle IF hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while gefle IF holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
gefle IF
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
gefle IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 7 · avg 4.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00