GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Geel are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Sporting Hasselt are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Hasselt hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Geel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geel

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Geel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GeelWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Sporting HasseltWWLLW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GeelSporting Hasselt
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form16.7
15.3Power31.3
1.80xG1.64
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